Wednesday, January 20, 2010

USD Bull Revisit

Last I wrote on the USD on December 5th. on the possible USD "bull kicking the teeth of "experts" ", USD  Index chart had begun rallied up strongly.

After hitting a high of 78.449,   it came back down a bit and did its 38.2% retracement and found support there. Price started to close up above the lower Bollinger Band on the 15th. which offer the first initial buy signal. The Stochastic has gone back up and crossed above its 20's signal line which offer its second initial buy signal. The next buy signals to watch out for will be a price closing of above the upper Bollinger Band and a positive crossing up by the MACD. Both of these will mean a stronger buy signal. With the ADX is now hovering around the 28's , any  new up move would be a powerful one.

If my Elliot Wave count is correct, this next up wave should be the powerful wave 3 which some would call it the "mother of all bulls" kind of move.




Fundamental reasons ? Could the Feds be increasing the interest rates soon ? Or is it because the rest of the major currencies are collapsing (long overdue) ? Or is there a geo-political conflict coming on ?


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