FCPO - The Bull Rammed Through The Wilmar Story - 2/24/2014

The market reacted to the Wilmar news and had a knee jerk. Price went below last Friday low and that effectively closed off  my long position. I went in and buy again on last Tuesday when price went higher than 2684. Stochastic stays inside the 80's level and MACD is rising strongly. Please take note the space between the MACD and its moving average is getting wider, a sign that the bull is strong.  This is also been confirmed by the fast rising ADX which has now reached 27's and the D+ is way above 30's level. I will place my stop at the top band to try to ride further on the current trend.

I have been talking about the all important 2692 resistance as it has been the high reached by the prior cycle. This level has been comfortably broken up now. So this level will now become an important support for this rally.

 
The weekly chart confirmed last week's buy signal by going to a higher high. As in the daily chart, price has now managed to close above its all important resistance level which is also the final fractal high of the current cycle. The MACD has also finally turned positive. As the MACD has never gone below its zero level recently, so I would take this as a continuation of the prior bull trend after a 3 months long consolidation. The D+ continues to spike higher to 31's , confirming the strong strength of the buyers. Last week I mentioned the flat ADX may be hinting for a possible new cycle and it turned into a fact now. The ADX has begun to rise which mean the beginning of a new cycle and also the strength.

Wilmar story was strange as they denied that they ever send the notice to the Sarawak government on their intention to stop buying palm oil. I wonder who would want to play such a plank ? This is especially the news were carried by some usually highly reliable sources. But that should teach us another lesson - "fundamental" news are not tradable in the futures market. Anyway coming back to the futures market, I last wrote 2,900 should be the upside target, but secretly I have been thinking some higher targets, but right now I just want to see 2,900's area hit first. Next week I should be exploring the higher possibilities.