Tuesday, February 3, 2015

强国人女泰机场晾胸围底裤 

色彩鲜艳惹人侧目


强国人游客在海外旅游再出丑,近日有泰国第3电视台报道,
有一名强国 人女游客竟在清迈机场候机大堂晾胸围底裤。 据报道,该名强国人女游客旁若无人,把一件胸围和底裤晾在座椅靠背上,且胸围颜色非常鲜艳夺目,但如此不文明的行为却惹来不少人侧目。
事件经泰国亚洲大众传媒有限公司新闻部官方微博转载曝光后,网民哗然,纷批评该名女游客简直把机场当成家中阳台。


涉事中国女游客自顾玩手机,把候机大堂当成家中阳台

涉事中国女游客自顾玩手机,把候机大堂当成家中阳台

Monday, February 2, 2015

世界货币大战  - 下一个是中国吗?



全球货币大战又迎来了一个新成员——新加坡。上周除欧洲央行公布宣布万亿QE外,加拿大和丹麦的央行均意外降息。这令市场开始猜测,下一个会 不会是中国?

彭博文章提到,中国可能会是个例外。理由包括:

1,出口。就算人民币对其他国家(例如日本)货币保持强势,过去几年中国的出口依然稳步上扬。人民币贬值真的有必要吗?


QQ图片20150128192735

2,再平衡。人民币贬值可能会令进口价格走高,进而损害消费以及经济再平衡的进程。

3,规模。中国的经济体量比新加坡大约30倍,而且中国经济并未完全开放,所以采取跟新加坡一样的做法不一定会带来同样的效果。

4,资金流出。流入中国的资金已经在放缓,流出的规模在增加。人民币贬值可能会加速资本流出,令国内的资金情况更为严重。

5,债务。根据彭博的数据,中国以美元计价的债券和贷款规模为7730亿美元,人民币走软将会令利润本已下滑的中国企业日子更难过。

6,美国回应。人民币贬值可能令美国再次质疑中国操纵汇率。

7,外汇储备。今年晚些时候,IMF将启动每十年进行两次的评估,以决定其成员国可以将哪些货币纳入官方储备货币篮子。人民币贬值可能会令中 国推动人民币进入特别提款权系统的努力付诸东流。

8,结果。如果中国要加入全球宽松大战,中国更可能选择降息或降准,而非令人民币贬值。

虽然人民币不贬值的理由有很多,但市场似乎并不买账。

今日央行上调了人民币中间价,但人民币即期较中间价大幅下跌,跌幅一度达到1.956%,至6.2477,逼近2%的汇率限制,刷新此前最低 记录。这是人民币本周第三次下跌。

 Marvin Gaye song to be used in ‘Blurred Lines’ copyright trial

Judge John Kronstadt said he made a mistake when he ruled Monday that Gaye’s song ‘Got To Give It Up’ would be completely inadmissible at trial. On Wednesday, he said excerpts can be played for jurors if they’re ‘tailored to the allegedly protected content asserted by’ Gaye’s heirs, who are in a copyright dispute with Thicke and Williams.

http://www.dailymotion.com/video/x1edjqg_marvin-gaye-got-to-give-it-up-1977_music
The judge handling the "Blurred Lines" copyright dispute between Marvin Gaye's kids and Robin Thicke and Pharrell Williams has changed his tune.

In a surprise reversal filed Wednesday, U.S. District Judge John Kronstadt said he made a mistake when he said Monday that the recording of Gaye's legendary song "Got To Give It Up" would be completely inadmissible at trial.

"This order represents a change from this earlier view based on the court's further (self-imposed) consideration of the proof required," he wrote in his new ruling.
Judge Kronstadt said that "upon reflecting further," he decided to modify his position and consider playing excerpts of Gaye's 1977 hit recording for jurors if they're "tailored to the allegedly protected content asserted by" Gaye's heirs.

"To avoid prejudice to (Thicke and Williams), these recordings would need to be edited to remove all unprotected elements such as percussion and backup vocals," Kronstadt wrote.
"Any potential prejudice to (Thicke and Williams) caused the by the airing of Gaye's voice, which is not protected, is something that could perhaps be addressed by a limiting instruction," he said.

Kronstadt said that if either side wants to play an edited sound recording at the upcoming trial scheduled to begin Feb. 10, they must submit the snippet to the court by Feb. 2 for consideration.

It was Monday that Kronstadt first told both parties that the original Motown recording of "Got To Give It Up" would be off limits in the multimillion dollar copyright infringement dispute.

Gaye's children, including son Marvin Gaye III, were upset by the initial ruling, arguing through their lawyer that Gaye's protected sheet music was best embodied by his sound recording.

The heirs remain adamant that Thicke and Williams illegally copied protected elements of "Got To Give It Up" when they wrote their wildly popular 2013 Grammy-nominated single "Blurred Lines."

The hit song
            'Blurred Lines' by Pharrell Williams and Robin Thicke has
            led to a multimillion dollar copyright infringement
            dispute. Frederick M. Brown/Getty Images The hit song 'Blurred Lines' by Pharrell Williams and Robin Thicke has led to a multimillion dollar copyright infringement dispute.
 
After the judge's initial decision Monday, lawyers on both sides said it appeared the judge only would allow hired musicologists to come into court and play Gaye's song on a keyboard.

A lawyer for Williams and Thicke said that was the right decision because Motown owns the iconic voice recording and is not a party to the lawsuit.

"I love Marvin Gaye. My clients love Marvin Gaye. But this is not about his voice, his character, his charisma. The question is whether 'Blurred Lines' is a copy of what he wrote in the sheet music. And it's not," lawyer Howard E. King, who represents Thicke and Williams, told The News Tuesday.

"We've said for two years that there are not two consecutive notes of the same duration duplicated in either song. The notes, chords and key are different," King said.
"There's no disputing the songs are in the same genre. Everyone recognizes it's in the same genre, but it ends there. Marvin Gaye doesn't own the genre," he said.

A lawyer for Gaye's children pointed out that Thicke and Williams initiated the court battle when they filed their preemptive claim in August 2013 asking for protection.
"Pharrell Williams and Robin Thicke started this lawsuit against the Gaye family, but then filed motions asking the court to prohibit the playing of Marvin Gaye's song, which prevents the jury from comparing the songs," lawyer Richard Busch said.

"We know of no similar case where this has occurred, and do not believe that a truly fair trial can take place if the jury cannot hear and compare both songs," he said.

One Typo Brought Down A 124-Year-Old Company


It took a century to build and a moment to destroy.

A family business that had been around for more than a century was run out of business after a United Kingdom government register made a typo in 2009 that listed the company as having gone bust.

The former co-owner of the company sued the government and recently won, The Telegraph reports. It took four years for the case to be decided.

Engineering firm Taylor & Sons Ltd was mistakenly listed on a UK government company register as being in liquidation when it was really another company — Taylor & Son Ltd (without the second “s”) — that had gone under. Once this information got out to creditors, suppliers started terminating orders, according to The Telegraph.

The mistake was caught within a few days, but by then, the damage was already done.

Managing director and co-owner Philip Davison-Sebry said he was on vacation in the Maldives when this all happened, and it was “like Armageddon” with clients calling him and asking what was going on.

The company fell apart within two months.

The High Court in Britain ruled in managing director and co-owner Philip Davison-Sebry’s favor and he’ll likely receive millions. The final payout has yet to be determined.
46年最大轉折:美財政赤字佔GDP比降至2.8%



西药的 另一个伟大祖国   比以前更健康

美國強勁的經濟復蘇幫助財政赤字規模大降至2008年以來最低水平。美國商務部的數據顯示,截止到2014年9月30日,美國財政赤字規模為 4834億美元,僅佔到同期GDP規模的2.8%該比率是2009年12月以來最低。彭博表示這是至少46年以來美國財政狀況的最大改變

最新美國第三季度GDP數據顯示美國經濟復蘇狀況良好,第二季度和第三季度美國分別錄得4.6%和3.5%的增長幅度,為2003年以來最 佳。就業市場的改善情況也十分明顯,9月失業率已經回落至5.9%。

赤字降低使得美國發行債券的需求以及成本也相應減少。周一財政部 表示第四季度發債規模有望成為為2007年第四季度以來最低的一30年美債2014年平均借貸成本僅為3.4%,遠低於過去30年平均水平6.09%。 國會預算委員會8月則預計2014財年的赤字佔GDP比將回落至2.6%,2016年大選年會回升至2.9%。

Raymond James& Associates Inc首席經濟學家Scott Brown在接受彭博採訪時表示,“財政情況的改善使得赤字這一話題不再成為中期選舉的關鍵。不過長期來看,嬰兒潮時代人群的養老壓力還是難以避免。”

其他經濟學家也有類似的擔憂。Potomac Research Group首席政治策略師Gregory Valliere 認為赤字減少可能只是短期現象,對財政緊縮持厭惡態度的政治家們很有可能會在國防或者其他項目上擴大開支。前國會預算委員會主席Douglas Holtz-Eakin表示,“我覺得這沒有理由值得慶祝,我們已經浪費了5年時間。在該採取行動的時候,我們並沒有當機立斷。”

評級機構標準普爾曾在2011年8月將美國的3A評級下調至AA+。因當時美國赤字比例過高,且奧巴馬政府的減赤措施無法保證美國中長期的債 務平衡
FCPO -  The Correction Gets Intense - 2/2/2015


Displaying Oriental FCPO D.png 

The market continues its correction. Price is staying below the bottom band. The MACD has fallen below the zero signal line which mean the market is now in a bearish cycle. The Stochastic has fallen into the oversold area. Though the ADX is low but it has begun to rise, so I would still be watching the Stochastic over the MACD.  The DMI stays negative with the D- above the 30's and rising. This confirms the sellers are getting very strong. The D+ has fallen below the 20's, this is also confirming the buyers are really running.

I continue to place my stop at bottom band. But if price can go back up for 2 days, then I will adjust my stop to prior day high.



Displaying Oriental FCPO W.png 

The weekly chart confirmed the previous week's sell signal as price went lower than 2222. The MACD remains positive but it has begun to turn downward. The Stochastic stays negative and falling. I take note that the Stochastic has completed a bearish divergence formation with lower peaks. If price closes below the bottom band of 2144 in the coming week, then we may see a new cycle of serious selling emerging. The DMI has just turned negative with the ADX goes flat. 



Displaying Oriental FCPO M.png 

The monthly chart is in a listless mode as price went back closing below the bottom band. The MACD is negative but the Stochastic went positive. So this pair of contradicting indicators is confirming a listless mode.

I have been harboring some bullish thoughts on this market as the longer term was forming some subtle signal. But obviously this is not to be the case now, but it is extremely important that traders must obey all the signals that their trading systems flashes. Though my supposedly bullish scenario did not materialize, but I was still able to make some decent profit from that previous long trade , just as the current short trade is as rewarding.
FKLI - Rebound Fizzled Out Fast - 2/2/2015


Displaying Oriental FKLI D.png 

Last week I wrote of the low ADX which require me to pay attention to the Stochastic over the other indicators. The Stochastic went into the overbought zone last week, so I begin to tighten my stop to prior day low minus 1 point. So by last Monday or latest by Wednesday, I closed off my long positions. As at now I am waiting for the next sell signal as the Stochastic has already begun to cross down and it may cross down below its 80's signal line by the coming week.

The MACD remains positive and above its zero signal line. The DMI continues to stay positive but the D- has been falling. This means the buyers are leaving. The D- is now above 20's but it has stopped rising. This would warrant some attention to the selling forces. The ADX has been flat at 20's for the past 3 days, this means there is no trend in the market yet. But overall, I would pay more attention to the sell side of the story over the buy signal.




Displaying Oriental FKLI W.png 

The previous week bullish development at the weekly chart failed to develop further as price was unable to close above the previous week's closing and middle band. The indicators continue to stay bullish as both the Stochastic and MACD stay positive and rising. But as the MACD is still relatively "far" from its zero signal line, so I would not get too excited about it. The slower reacting DMI stays negative with the D- falling. This means the sellers are getting weak. But the D+ is flat which mean the buyers are also not brave. On top of this, the ADX is falling, so I would say there is no trend in this market yet.



Displaying Oriental FKLI M.png 

The monthly chart's MACD is negative and falling, but it is still above the zero signal line. The Stochastic is negative and falling and it is now below its 80's signal line. But we are not getting a confirmation from price as it manages to close back above the previous month's low. In order to secure a confirmation I would need to see price goes below 1693 in the coming month.

The game plan is still to concentrate on the sell side over the buy side. A correction in the US Dollar and crude oil may bring back some bullish sentiments, but get fooled by it as to think we are out of fire pit.