On
March 5, a policy proposal written by a prominent Chinese scholar was
circulated among the country's leaders in Beijing. Already, 10 days had
passed since Russia invaded Ukraine, but Russian President Vladimir
Putin's blitzkrieg had not borne fruit. Instead, it was
becoming clear that even if Russia managed to seize Ukraine and set up a
puppet government, Western sanctions and a rebellion within Ukraine
would make it difficult for Putin to maintain control over the land. The
tougher-than-expected global economic sanctions all but ensured
Russia's economy would tank within a few years. "China cannot
be tied to Putin and needs to be cut off as soon as possible," scholar
Hu Wei wrote. The controversial article has been removed from the
Chinese internet and the Chinese government has not "cut off" Putin
-- yet. But there may be signs of change. Hu suggested in the
article that time was running out for a decision and that the window for
Beijing to act was one to two weeks. Is it only coincidence that nine
days after the article was circulated, top Chinese diplomat Yang Jiechi
sat across from U.S. national security adviser Jake Sullivan in Rome? On
Friday, Chinese President Xi Jinping will speak with U.S. President Joe
Biden by phone. The article may have been more seriously considered
than we think. |
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