OIL is The Source Of All Wars ?
Joint Russian-Chinese
Naval Exercise has Energy Undertones
For centuries, maritime powers have used their navies to “show the
flag” in contested naval issues. Unlike armies, which must
mobilize on frontiers, or air forces, which would need to overfly
hostile space, navies can float in international waters of
countries that naval powers wish to intimidate, sending a not so
subtle signal all the while obeying international law.
As the U.S. prepares to “pivot” 60 percent of its armed forces
into the Pacific, an upcoming joint Russian-Chinese naval exercise
is sending a clear signal that the western Pacific, which the U.S.
has treated as its regional lake since the end of World War Two,
will not necessarily remain uncontested.
The unspoken agenda of the exercise is to reaffirm Russian and
Chinese sovereignty over their claims to the western Pacific
continental shelf, which numerous surveys indicate contain rich
hydrocarbon resources.
Russia has territorial issues with Japan over the Kurile islands.
China is in dispute with Japan over the Senkaku (“Diaoyu” in
Chinese) islands. Further south, China is involved in sovereignty
disputes in the South China Sea over the Spratly islands’ 750
islands, islets, atolls, cays and outcroppings with the
Philippines, Taiwan, Vietnam, Malaysia and Brunei, and Vietnam
over the Paracel archipelago.
On 2 July China's Defense Ministry announced that its navy would
send four destroyers, two guided missile frigates and a support
ship for the exercises, which start on 5 July in the Sea of Japan
and run until 12 July. The ships set sail from Qingdao port, where
China's Northern Fleet is based, and headed for the rallying point
in Peter the Great Bay in Russian internal waters near
Vladivostok. The ministry announced, "This marks our navy's single
biggest deployment of military force in a China-foreign joint
exercise." The "Sea Cooperation - 2013" exercise represent “the
most ambitious Sino-Russian naval exercises in recent years."
Lest anyone in the Pentagon be in any doubt about the implications
of the exercise, a Chinese editorial notes, “These military
exercises, of course, are held in conjunction with the current
situation in North-East Asia. But we can also assume that they are
an attempt to resist the ongoing U.S.-Japan alliance. Strictly
speaking, most of the forces of the Russian Pacific Fleet are
aimed at blocking the U.S.-Japanese island chain of primary
defense. Therefore, the question of how to break the strong
U.S.-Japan alliance has the same practical significance for China,
as for Russia,” before concluding, “At present, China and Russia
are equally unable by themselves with the United States and its
military alliance, dominated by the United States. China and
Russia have accordingly chosen to intensify a deep strategic
cooperation and no doubt this is the only right way to develop
it.”
But it depends whom you believe, as People's Liberation Army
general staff chief General Fang Fenghui said in Moscow, "The
joint drill conducted by the two militaries of China and Russia do
not target any third parties. Their aim is to deepen co-operation
between the two militaries in the training field, boost capacity
in coordinating military activities, and serve the purpose of
safeguarding regional security and stability."
Nor is the "Sea Cooperation - 2013" exercise the only instance of
Russia partnering up with regimes that annoy Washington. Following
a recent visit by Russian Pacific Fleet ships to Iran’s Persian
Gulf port of Bandar Abbas, Russia and Iran have agreed to deepen
their naval cooperation in the Caspian. Iranian Navy Lieutenant
Commander Sayavush Jarrah noted on 2 July that two Iranian missile
frigates recently visited Russia’s Astrakhan port on the mouth of
the Volga, adding that "the strengthening of friendly relations
between Iran and Russia," was the main task of the mission.
Intimidate Azerbaijan, biggest supporter of Caspian hydrocarbons
flowing westwards, a goal of both Moscow and Tehran, anyone?
Funny how hydrocarbons and “flying the flag” seem to go together
even better than oil and water.
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