Muddy Water Begins To Short Singapore's
Noble Group
Carson Block just announced a new short and the stock is already getting stomped
Muddy Waters, the investment research firm helmed by Carson Block, just announced a new short thesis — Singaporean commodities trading firm, Noble Group Limited.
The stock fell 6% on Wednesday after Muddy Waters published an 14 page report alleging that Noble “exist solely to borrow and burn cash” — a classic accounting fraud.
Noble depends on its
income statement to survive. When a company borrows
and burns cash as consistently as Noble does, it needs
to generate EBITDA for its lenders, and net income for
its equity investors (a company’s ability to issue
equity is comforting to lenders). For a company such
as Noble, with significant amounts of Levels 2 and 3
fair value assets and an ever-expanding balance sheet,
EBITDA and net income can be relatively easy to
produce.
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Muddy Waters’ report specifically took on Noble’s management, stating that the company’s business is too complicated and opaque for them to manage, especially in any way that’s transparent enough for investors to understand.
If “adversity
introduces a man to himself”, in the public company
context, it also introduces management to
investors. Management’s actions taken on the eve of
Noble reporting its first quarterly loss since being
public, give a clear view of how they operate. Through
a highly questionable acquisition followed by a series
of suspicious transactions, Noble reduced its first
reported quarterly loss by approximately two-thirds.
The reported gain was equivalent to roughly 10% of
Noble’s 2011 net income. In this report, we present
the details of these transactions. After amassing this
information, the truly disturbing aspect of Noble is
that it has over 12,000 contracts – i.e., a lot of
opportunities to do similar things again, and again.
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