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US To Establish Military Base In Mongolia Next ?
The significance of US Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel’s visit to
Ulan Bator this month should not be overlooked.
U.S. Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel will touch down in Ulan
Bator this month, marking the first visit of a defense secretary
to Mongolia since Donald Rumsfeld toured the landlocked country in
2005. Hagel’s trip will be the tail end of an action-packed
itinerary, with stops in Japan and China, where strategic
anxieties remain high over their vitriolic row in the East China
Sea. Mongolia, on the other hand, presents Hagel a less
challenging atmosphere. But while U.S.-Mongolia defense relations
may lack the intensity of Washington’s other networks in the
region, the significance and potential of the partnership going
forward should not be dismissed.
Hagel’s upcoming visit is largely being played up as a courtesy
call and expression of thanks for Mongolia’s contributions to
U.S.-led interventions in Afghanistan and Iraq. But it would be
unfair to Ulan Bator to characterize the trip purely in terms of
diplomatic etiquette. Indeed, there is something more
transformational happening in Mongolia’s security doctrine and
these changes are not going unnoticed in Washington. Mongolia has
rounded out its foreign policy, both in economic and security
terms, to distance itself from a historic over dependence on its
two weighty neighbors – Russia and China. This “third neighbor”
policy has prompted Ulan Bator to look at enhancing its strategic
relationships with U.S. and other large economies such as Japan,
Canada and several countries in Europe.
It is this more fundamental shift in
Mongolia’s approach and – more significantly – its implications
for U.S. interests both in East and Central Asia that is the real
impetus for blossoming defense ties. Ulan Bator has been
brandishing its role as stakeholder on international security
issues through several theaters. In 2012, Mongolia deployed peace keepers to a high-risk
area on the border of South Sudan and Sudan. Soldiers from the
Mongolian Armed Forces (MAF) also served in the NATO-led
Kosovo intervention from 2005-2007. Other peacekeeping
deployments over the past decade include Sierra Leone, Chad
and Georgia. These commitments, along with the MAF’s efforts
in Afghanistan and Iraq, have helped bolster Ulan Bator’s with
the U.S. and NATO.
The fruits of Ulan Bator’s labor came via NATO’s decision in 2012
to formalize cooperation with Mongolia by signing an Individual
Partnership and Cooperation Programme, which aims to enhance the
interoperability of MAF troops with those of NATO members. And, as
noted in earlier articles, Mongolia also continues to improve
interoperability with the U.S. and other NATO through its annual
hosting of the rapidly expanding “Khaan Quest” peacekeeping
exercises which were held for the tenth time this past summer.
While serving tactical and capacity building purposes, the Khaan
Quest exercises have also contributed to building regional
confidence building as the attendees come from dozens of
countries, from Asia, Europe and North America.
Mongolia’s focus on the peacekeeping niche has resulted in a
dramatic modernization of the MAF to adapt this evolving mandate.
Former Mongolia hands Christopher Pultz and Jonathan Addleton have
noted that the MAF’s reorientation on is centered on three goals:
developing capacity to participate in UN-led missions, bolster
counter terrorism efforts and enhance its role in humanitarian and
disaster relief missions. These goals are supported
by Washington’s financial and diplomatic support to bulk up
the MAF’s capacity through the creation of a Peace Support
Operation Training Center and the provision of
non-lethal supplies such as uniforms and protective gear. The
pay-off has been tangible. Pultz recently noted that, “Mongolia has deployed over five thousand
personnel in fifteen global missions supporting both U.S. –
and NATO-led coalitions and UN peace-support operations since
2002. In relation to the size of its population, Mongolia’s
contribution is extraordinary; the country is ranked 26th on
the UN’s list of contributing nations.”
While Hagel’s visit is a welcome benefit, it would be a mistake to
interpret this as a goal for Mongolia. President Tsakhiagiin
Elbegdorj has bigger and bolder plans for his country to play a
prominent role in Northeast Asia as a center for internationally
supported peacekeeping operations. The policy, which is bolstered
by the MAF’s significant effort despite its diminutive size (fewer
than 10,000 active soldiers), goes hand-in-hand with Elbegdorj’s
“third neighbor” approach, which provides Mongolia an air pocket
from its economic and security reliance on Beijing and Moscow. The
softer side of this diplomatic push has been demonstrated by Ulan
Bator’s membership in the Organization for Security and
Cooperation in Europe and its previous chairmanship of the
Community on Democracies. Ulan Bator has also been promoting its
soft power as an interlocutor through its active engagement as a
meeting venue between Japan and North Korea over the lingering
issue of abducted Japanese citizens.
Cementing defense ties with the U.S., while not going as far as
becoming a treaty ally for obvious geo-strategic reasons, helps
Mongolia’s national security priorities. Hagel’s visit will likely
highlight the accomplishments mentioned earlier and chart a course
for the future of the U.S.-Mongolia defense relationship.
Specifically, such a partnership must focus on continuing to train
and build the capacity of the MAF, while also taking time to
assist Ulan Bator on necessary institutional defense reforms. But,
equally important to these tactical efforts will be a joint push
to get Mongolia more impactful and integrated into the developing
regional security architecture in Asia.
The atmospherics surrounding the turbulence between Japan and
China will, rightly so, grab attention during the front-end of
Hagel’s trip. But let’s not overlook the third stop. It might be
nearly a decade since Defense Secretary Don Rumsfeld visited
Mongolia, but the high-level relationship is not starting from
scratch. In fact, since that time there have been repeated visits
by undersecretaries and assistant secretaries of defenses. The
Mongolia defense minister was in Washington in 2011 and former
U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton toured Ulan Bator the
following year. The two also continue to operate the U.S.-Mongolia
Bilateral Consultative Council (BCC), which has been held since
1999. The significance of the budding partnership was summed up at
last year’s BCC held in Washington. Both sides agreed that the
relationship should transcend years of mere dialogue and be
elevated to a “strategic partnership.”
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